So the Texans have made it clear this offseason that they
are intent on re-signing pass-rush specialist Mario Williams. Of course, whether
or not he stays, it’s safe to say the Texans can officially be crowned the
winners of the great draft debate of 2006.
You remember, that’s when so many people thought they were
crazy for making Williams the first pick in the draft instead of taking Reggie
Bush or hometown hero Vince Young. Sure, Bush did get a Super Bowl ring before
his days in New Orleans came to an end, but it’s hard to imagine the Saints
wouldn’t have won that title without the former Heisman Trophy winner. Bush did
have his best season as a pro with the Dolphins in 2011, but let’s see him do
that again before we decide he was ever worthy of the second overall pick, let
a lone the first.
As for Young, well, there’s no question he wasn’t worthy.
After a nice enough start to his career, he will now go down in NFL history
best known for having dubbed the 2011 Eagles the “Dream Team.” And we all know
how that turned out.
But when you take a closer look at the 2006 draft, it’s a
perfect reminder that this whole process is little more than a crapshoot.
Foundation for the future? After five NFL seasons, barely
half of the first-round picks from 2006 were still with the teams that drafted
them. Some were good picks who simply left via free agency or trade – like
Johnathan Joseph and Jay Cutler. Others were just busts – Laurence Maroney,
Bobby Carpenter and some guy named Matt Leinart.
But even more to the point is a quick look at some other
players drafted that year. While the Saints got Bush with the second overall
pick, they also got WR Marques Colston… with the fourth-to-last pick. That
would be pick number 252. Earlier in that seventh round, New Orleans drafted
Zach Strief, who would become a starting offensive lineman. So they got two
guys in the seventh round who turned out to be more valuable than the second
overall pick.
The Titans, after settling for Young with that third overall
pick, got feisty CB Cortland Finnegan in the seventh round.
Denver got Brandon Marshall in the fourth round. While he’s been
in Miami with Bush, Denver still has Elvis Dumervil, who they got later that
round.
While the Jaguars did something I consider the worst draft
strategy ever – taking a tight end (in this case, Marcedes Lewis) in the first
round, they did get Maurice Jones-Drew in the second.
There is no rhyme or reason here, folks. Doesn’t mean teams
shouldn’t do their homework. This is not about teams making bad decisions
(except for those dumb enough to take a tight end in the first). It’s about
those of us in the media who think we can pass judgment the minute a pick is
announced.
Sure, it’s fun. And the fans practically demand it. But
guess what? We’re hardly ever right. The 2006 draft proved that from the first
pick to the (fourth from) the last.
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